In an interview with AMR Research, Carter Lusher / Dave Eckert make a surprising assertion:
“Only one analyst firm in the IT industry has a dedicated and systematic research approach on emerging technologies. However, that one firm is the 900 pound gorilla Gartner.”
That’s not the view from where I sit.
It’s rare that an emerging technology surfaces first in Gartner research. And, Gartner’s hype cycle and cool vendor reports are hardly the end all, be all of systematic industry research on bleeding edge tech.
Emerging technologies almost always come to light first at one of the dozens of smaller, agile analyst firms offering in-depth insight into specific markets. It’s easy to see why. These analysts tend to have deeper roots in early stage technologies and markets. They are easier to get to. They have robust networks among developers, investors, other opinion leaders, and early adopters. I see it time and again, from semiconductors to Wi-Fi to 3G to graphics to collaboration software to managed services.
Gartner does a good job of discussing technologies that are ready for early enterprise adopters. They also do a good job on emerging tech providers ready for IPO or acquisition. That doesn’t make Gartner the first — or the only — analyst outfit with a dedicated focus on emerging technologies.



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